Are there win-win strategies sports betting? How to choose a profitable betting strategy with minimal risk? Where to apply financial strategy sports betting?
HeatherBober magazine welcomes its readers! Denis Kuderin is in touch.
We continue the theme of a profitable game in bookmakers. In a new article, we will talk about betting strategies. Those who have read to the end will understand one important thing - no matter how attractive strategies are in theory, the main indicator of their success is evaluated only by practice.
Thoughtlessly copying other people's recipes is unreasonable and impractical. The purpose of the publication is to teach players to live their minds, consistently and measuredly moving towards their cherished goal.
And the most patient readers are waiting for advice on how to make the strategy game as safe and profitable as possible.
1. Should You Use Sports Betting Strategies?
Everyone who bets on sports has their own strategy. Even if the player does not try to formulate it or somehow define it, it is still there. Any handicapper (professional bettor in a bookmaker's office) makes bets based on past experience. That is, he does not bet thoughtlessly, but in accordance with his ideas about a competent game.
There are, of course, weirdos who bet for the sake of a bet. It does not matter to them whether their bet loses or wins, they are interested in the process itself. I hope there are no gamblers (addicted to the game) among our readers. Reasonable people bet not for the sake of the game, but for the sake of earning.
It is from this point of view that we will consider betting strategies. When the task of a handicapper is not to guess the outcome of a particular sporting event, but to make a profitable investment, the very approach to betting changes. It becomes more thoughtful, sober and efficient.
So to begin with, it is worth getting rid of the main illusion. Remember, there is no one-size-fits-all game strategy that will make you a super-successful handicapper. Especially dangerous are progressive strategies and those that are on everyone's lips.
How to be? Live with your mind. Only those handicappers who, through trial and error, come to create their own author's methods, end up in the black.
But this does not mean that all existing popular strategies are slag. They must be studied, tested and, if necessary, used. If only because some of them help to understand the mathematical laws of betting (betting business) and develop their own unique methods based on them.
Firstly, do not bet blindly, just hoping for an attractive odds. Luck is a very slippery thing, and counting on it is very risky! Sooner or later she will take all your money from you!
Always look at statistics, analyze past games and, if possible, news regarding the situation within both teams. Most often, bets incorrectly determine the current state of affairs at a given time, but are only justified by the rating, popularity or position of the club in standings. However, the team can go into decline, it can have suspended or injured key players, etc.!
Secondly, in nature does not exist 100% winning bets, as well as 100% confidence in the result of the match!
Try to designate for yourself that the MAXIMUM that can be is 90-95% confidence in the result of the game (this is the highest probability, and often it is no more than 50%). 100% can never be! If such a thought hovers in your head, then you need to do everything so that it disappears ... Find the prerequisites for the fact that such a result may simply not happen ... Find a weak spot that always exists!
Thirdly, do not be lazy to find out the weather, which is expected to be on the day of the game. It plays a very important role, for example, in football and, knowing the weather conditions, we can expect an approximate course of the game for both teams.
Snow or rain are a definite advantage in defense tactics, it is much easier to destroy in such conditions than to attack ... Therefore, the result is like a regular or dry draw, when one and the opponents play for the sake of not losing - the most likely!
Repeatedly, not knowing the weather conditions, we lost very probable bets... Rain or snow should be a surprise for anyone, but not for you! If at least something hints that there will be changes in the weather for the worse, then the best way out would be to insure than just rely on lady fortune!
Fourth, get detailed information from the camps of the two rivals. Disqualifications, absenteeism, injuries - all this will help to predict the outcome as accurately as possible, and, in turn, bet your money correctly!
If there was a disqualification or injury to defensive midfielders or defenders, then this in itself speaks of possible problems in defense and potential conceded goals.
If the disqualification or injury was the main attacking player or the team captain, then the question arises: will the players be able to score, what changes will they make in the tactics of the game, will they be able to implement the standard that will bring them forward.
However, if the main standards performer was injured or disqualified, then this can also make you think.
In this way, try to study the future state of the players in as much detail as possible.
Fifth, you should not bet on a dry victory of a club leaving to play on a foreign field.
One of the most common losses is when the favorite goes to the middle/underdog team and ends up taking home one point... Players on a stronger team often fail to set themselves up to take an outsider seriously., and those, in turn, want to squeeze the maximum out of themselves in order to get even closer to the leader.
The most common situation occurs when a club from the top lines of the table plays an away match, scores once and tries to finish the match, practically not playing and not wasting energy, and the opponent uses this slack and equalizes the score at the very end.
Therefore, a bet on the winning of the guest club, wherever the opponent is in the championship table, is always a risk, and the risk should always be minimized! Therefore, the X2 bet is one of the key options for considering this kind of deal!
At sixth, repeatedly weigh all your options and make an adequate decision before directly betting that the club will score away!
To make such a bet, you must first read and complete paragraphs 1-5 of these secret rules.
If you are really 95% sure that a club leaving to play at a foreign stadium will definitely score, then feel free to bet!
But don't forget about home team, because her task is also to score a goal!
Seventh, you should not bet on too small and large quotes "to win", especially when you like to play accumulator bets!
Small and large odds are almost a 100% loss in the accumulator bet.
It is better not to bet on:
- large (above 1.85): the outcome is unlikely! If you think that the probability is quite high, then you should carefully read such a match, and you will probably be able to understand why the bookmaker puts such a high quote! On top of that, remember about match-fixing! You probably don’t know about them, but there are people who earn huge money from this!
- small (1.09 and below): because it will not have weight in the multiple bet, and this fact alone should already dissuade you. Why an unjustified risk in one bet to the whole chain! And yet, they are often simply based on the position in the championship and ratings, since they are not able to closely monitor all championships, tournaments and cups (this situation does not apply to the most popular championships. Everything is carefully calculated in them, and any change that may have an impact on the result will be taken into account) ...
Eighth, no need to bet on clear WINS in friendly or pre-season, insignificant games!
The best option would be to ignore such matches altogether. However, if you still really want to bet on such a game, then keep in mind that the probability of WIN in such matches is reduced by half or three times!!! You will ask why? But because the plans of the coaching staff for these games are unknown to anyone. Maybe he wants to try a new defensive tactic, maybe he wants to test his young subjects by giving leaders a break, and so on. Or maybe the players are just not set up, which happens most often!
Ninth, do not type EXPRESS from a huge number of games! The fewer games, the more your chances of winning increase!
The best would be an accumulator of 2-3 games. Playing with express bets is a very big risk, and if you decide to play 8-9 matches, then the probability of winning sags to a large extent, which is not advisable!!! If, nevertheless, you rave about a big jackpot, take risks, but the result will be sad for you! Fortune can smile only once, but soon you will give up your money anyway! (I mean exactly the express system).
tenth, you should not include an unconsidered result or a result with a small degree of probability in an express bet ...
A fairly common mistake is when you have selected all the matches that you wanted and calculated, but the coefficient came out much less, what you expected, or it is simply not round or ugly, AND THEN you deliberately insert into the accumulator an outcome that you have not even looked at! And what, in your opinion, the result will not justify the hopes? Eleventh, do not chase for a large coefficient! The best EXPRESS is the one that consists of 2-3 games, with a total quote of 1.5-3.5.
Don't take big odds! Do not dig yourself a financial hole!
Eleventh if, nevertheless, the desire to score a lot of matches overcame your common sense, then it makes sense to explain to you the so-called "SYSTEM" ...
If you have looked at the bookmaker's line of matches and you are interested in the games you want to bet on, but there are more than 7-8 such matches, then the Accumulator will most likely be lost in this case ... It's better to just bet "SYSTEM"!!! The probability of winning money from "SYSTEM" is much higher, since often in such a large accumulator one or two results may not converge!
Football, bets, tips. This is how the path of a player in betting most often begins. A person watches football, then is interested in betting, but loses, so he asks for help and seeks advice.
When choosing a bet, do not be guided by odds alone. Remember, in order to return the loss of a bet at odds of 1.10, you need to win 10 times in a row. Do not bet on favorites for worthless quotes. Real Madrid don't always win and Barcelona sometimes leave the field without goals scored.
High odds on the favorite - a trap
It is clear that it is not necessary to take Barça's victory for 1.15, but when the odds increase to 1.75 and higher, many make a deal without hesitation. Then it turns out that the team played without leaders or even put up a reserve squad. Either she entered the field without motivation, and the opponent needed a victory of any value.
Collect maximum information about the match
Based on the previous advice, it is clear that you need to have information about the fight. If you know that Barcelona will play without Messi, Suarez and Busquets, you are unlikely to take her victory. Especially if you have to play with an uncompromising opponent.
For the correct forecast for football, you need to know everything about the teams: lineups, form, motivation, psychology, statistics, and so on.
Bet on familiar tournaments and teams
The recommendation overlaps with the previous two. Do not get into exotic championships and matches of teams whose names have been seen for the first time. This happens in live, when after a loss you want to win back and put at least something.
Euphoria and tilt. Control yourself
Euphoria occurs after a series of winning trades, and tilt occurs after losing ones. In each case, keep a sober mind, because the situation will definitely change: from positive to negative and vice versa.
Avoid Bias: Favorite and Least Favorite Teams
Do not bet on your favorite and unloved teams, and the players who play for them. Your goal is to earn money, not to root for or against. It is impossible to objectively assess the chances of teams when the attitude is biased. If a person has been a fan of Real Madrid since childhood, he is unlikely to admit the thought that his favorites will lose to Barcelona or another club. Also don't bet against Barça because you just hate the Catalans.
Compare bookmaker quotes
The coefficients of the offices are different. Always compare the value to bet on the most profitable one. It is important to compare data, and not play in low-margin bookmakers. Even a high margin bookmaker can have the best odds on the underdog.
Do not collect "steam locomotives". Avoid long express trains
Bookmaker 1xBet gives 4000 rubles for registration.
How to bet on sports? Difficult question for beginners. A bet based on a competent analysis can bring hundreds of percent profit in just a few minutes. The first important step is to choose the right bookmaker. Do not rush to decide on a bookmaker. First you need to familiarize yourself with the rating of bookmakers.
On the site, the site according to the reviews of professional players is compiled by TOP bookmakers. This rating is based on feedback from hundreds of players and is constantly updated. Here you can get acquainted with the odds for the duration of the matches, receive interesting offers on promotions. How to start betting on sports, we will consider further.
Where to bet on sports: basic principles
Sports betting is accepted at bookmakers. Today, many of them have an online version. Playing over the Internet is a great way to earn real money from the comfort of your home.
Sports betting: where to start
Before you make your first bet, you should know what they are.
Single bet
The peculiarity of this bet is an attempt to predict only one outcome of the event. In this case, the winnings are calculated according to the formula of the product of the amount of money by the coefficient of the bet. For example, you bet 1000 rubles on a coefficient of 2.20, which means that your winnings at the rate will be 2200 rubles (1000 * 2.20), the net winnings will be 1200 rubles (2200-1000 minus the amount of the bet).
Express rates
Placed on several events at once. An important condition victory is the winning of all designated events in the parlay. In other words, a positive outcome can be as follows: a refund or a win. However, the game for several events at the same time has its minus. If at least one event does not justify the forecast, the entire bet is considered a failure. The multiple bet margin is calculated as the sum of the bets multiplied by the odds of all outcomes.
System
A collection of multiple expresses. This is a kind of enumeration of several variants of express bets with a fixed set of outcomes. The number of outcomes and the amount of bets for each accumulator are the same. The profit in the system is calculated as the sum of winnings on the express, which are included in the system. Read more about the system.
The most popular types of bets are bets on outcomes (1X2) and bets on total. There are also bets on painting ( additional rates) - who will score first, how many substitutions, yellow or red cards in the match, etc. . Bets on total allow you to predict a smaller or larger number of goals, pucks, balls, etc.
How professionals bet on sports
To understand how to make successful sports bets, a beginner should follow simple rules:
- Always clarify how to bet on a specific sports competition. Explain for yourself all the incomprehensible points, and only then place bets. Different bookmakers have different rules and fees.
- Play small amounts at first. There is always a risk that you can confuse or misunderstand something.
- Do not chase high odds, it is possible that pitfalls may lurk in them. It is safer to bet on favorites who are well motivated. You can combine such bets into express bets.
- Determine for yourself the specific size of your bank. You will always know how much you are willing to spend, what rates will suit you, when it is worth stopping to avoid bankruptcy.
- Play exclusively in reliable bookmakers. The richer and larger the company, the more it values its reputation. Visitor reviews are also important.
- Don't bet all your money on one bet. The outcome of any match can be unfavorable for you.
- Always know how to stop, even if you are lucky today.
- Be sure to follow the odds line. Rise or a sharp collapse is never accidental. Follow sports news. Remember that analysis is very important. Before you bet on a specific team, take an interest in its previous success, the number of injured players, the presence of yellow cards.
How to do sports betting analysis
How to learn to bet on sports? There are several methods for predicting a possible outcome. sporting event. They will help even a novice player to win good amounts.
- Information analysis, where you collect all available information on a team.
- Statistical analysis. During it, the losses and victories of the teams are analyzed, certain statistics are displayed, and the probability of winning or losing is calculated.
- Theory of forecast probability. With this method, the probability of the outcome of the match for each team is estimated. The above methods are quite effective, but laborious. Therefore, professional players often resort to help
In bookmakers, most often players bet on football events. With the right approach, this allows you to make good money. But at the same time, you should follow certain rules that will help reduce the risk of losing.
Primarily, don't bet big, which exceed 20 percent of the game bank. Any match, even if the winner is obvious, can end with unexpected result. The risk of losing is always present, and one must adhere to the bank's control rule, according to which one should bet on amounts no more than 5-7 percent of the bank.
Suggested in rates stick to certain strategies. There are quite a few of them now, and you can choose a few of the most suitable. At the same time, it is better to practice forecasting first on paper, so as not to risk money. After you have gained valuable experience in forecasting and tested any strategy in practice, you can move on to betting in bookmakers for money.
After losing and in the process of forecasting many players give in to emotions which affects the correctness of decision making. To make successful predictions, you should not try to win back after unfortunate defeats or, in a fit of desperation, make thoughtless bets. If emotions or excitement overwhelm you, then it is better to take a break and return to the game at the bookmaker's office when calmness and composure return.
It should always be remembered that making money on bets is very difficult and time consuming process. To win in the long run, you need to constantly follow the news, game form, injuries, etc. Before the match, when making a prediction, all details should be taken into account, including performance statistics, motivation, the possibility of replacing players from the main squad with substitutes, etc.
Before placing a bet you need to assess your chances first. teams to win or calculate the possible number of goals scored, and then compare them with the odds and values given by bookmakers. It is advisable to have accounts in different offices in order to bet on the most favorable odds.
Sometimes it's better not to bet before the match, if it is possible to bet on a team in Live mode. The first minutes of a match can change a player's decision and protect him from surprises. Also, bets during the match allow you to adjust your predictions and minimize losses in case of a loss.
Do not bet on all matches in a row. It is better to choose only those events in which there will be confidence in a positive result. You should focus not on the coefficient, but on the possibility of winning from the bookmaker. It is undesirable to bet on friendly matches, as in them the coach can set up a reserve team and try experimental schemes, so the result may be unexpected.
Never buy fixed matches on websites and in in social networks, as this is a scam from scammers.
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